Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 13.377312 15.624076 18.074891 20.939291 24.187323 27.747937 31.938313
2025-06-01 9.213043 12.164542 15.724434 20.297632 25.976081 32.751750 41.400415
2025-06-08 6.631223 9.689263 13.691418 19.231960 26.609797 35.992310 48.705048
2025-06-15 5.557575 8.816952 13.370813 20.055722 29.448470 41.980895 59.729864
2025-06-22 4.649972 7.951122 12.842779 20.405374 31.538942 47.017384 69.773803
2025-06-29 3.782402 6.955480 11.930266 20.006706 32.423780 50.349708 77.613139
2025-07-06 3.023200 5.974154 10.863195 19.183013 32.511870 52.446187 83.732730
2025-07-13 2.779215 5.816338 11.072101 20.349765 35.691079 59.260173 97.138822
2025-07-20 2.544456 5.627673 11.189681 21.353293 38.663614 65.927422 110.708589
2025-07-27 2.282215 5.336268 11.078734 21.935757 40.967935 71.673661 123.174527
2025-08-03 1.999872 4.950602 10.737447 22.059479 42.484456 76.229128 133.999815
2025-08-10 1.684077 4.432341 10.069053 21.501580 42.750997 78.728780 141.631252
2025-08-17 1.389898 3.923333 9.389144 20.929239 43.096992 81.649125 150.608843
2025-08-24 1.141037 3.466210 8.752706 20.381793 43.476547 84.732848 160.222378
2025-08-31 0.900026 2.962565 7.924823 19.327747 42.779685 85.860621 166.557876
2025-09-07 0.822349 2.869574 7.999268 20.157794 45.785702 93.788483 185.174832
2025-09-14 0.726293 2.699403 7.862961 20.509461 47.861580 100.142142 201.357814
2025-09-21 0.606311 2.422966 7.417670 20.109117 48.356290 103.568323 212.447426
2025-09-28 0.488109 2.112699 6.825316 19.281789 47.861684 105.054016 220.033164
2025-10-05 0.465221 2.115559 7.062381 20.453706 51.743845 115.243776 244.370689
2025-10-12 0.437321 2.093013 7.225654 21.461642 55.344449 125.082839 268.529333
2025-10-19 0.397855 2.015758 7.220876 22.046652 58.047225 133.282940 289.957173
2025-10-26 0.349561 1.887972 7.045432 22.170913 59.710952 139.472717 307.800057